After 2 years of messing around, can it be that common sense is about to enter stage left? Can we dare to hope for an outcome to Moldova's interminable presidential selection process that would be good for her people rather than her politicians?
Thursday, January 12, 2012
Saturday, October 29, 2011
A Royal Proposition
What two things do the following countries have in common?
Denmark, Norway, Sweden, The Netherlands, The United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan
Denmark, Norway, Sweden, The Netherlands, The United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan
Wednesday, October 12, 2011
#occupythis
Scenes of protest by predominantly young people in the developed world continue to cross our television screens. The causes are mixed and the aims are varied, but there is a common thread: a sense that the dream is over, and that this generation will be the first since the industrial revolution whose prospects in life will be worse than those of their parents.
Tuesday, August 30, 2011
The growth dogma
As we all know, the rich world has a debt problem. It's been living beyond its means for some time now, a situation exposed in so many ways by the 2008 financial crisis. Governmment finances in particular are in disarray, as they have been forced to bail out their banks, are receiving less in tax and paying more in benefits. Without drastic action, government blance sheets can only deteriorate further as demographic change (primarily aging populations).
Monday, August 15, 2011
Reset, or just good old-fashioned appeasement?
There's been quite a lot of comment in the
international press recently about the efficacy or otherwise of the Obama
administration's "reset" of relations with Russia.
All that notwithstanding, there is a major
problem with how the reset has unfolded. It is that the US has been
comprehensively out-negotiated by Russia.
Fans of the reset claim the following gains
for the US:
1. A
Russian abstention from a UN security council resolution authorising sanctions
against Iran for continuing its nuclear weapons program.
2.
The right of passage through Russia for NATO personnel & equipment
headed for Afghanistan.
3. A
treaty reducing the number of nuclear weapons held by the two countries.
Let's take each of these in turn.
1.
The sanctions on Iran have proved to be ineffective and the nuclear
weapons programme is proceeding unabated.
Russia continues to support the Iranians to the fullest extent it
can. No gain to the US.
2.
NATO success in Afghanistan is as important to Russia as it is to the US.
Afghanistan is a major source of drugs flowing into Russia and its fall
to the Taliban would generate Muslim insurgencies in Central Asia and in
possibly Russia itself. It's in Russia's
interests to cooperate and this should not be seen as a "win" for the
US.
3.
Russia needed to reduce the number of nuclear weapons it was
maintaining, as many of them were old, insecure and would have required a
substantial investment to upgrade.
Furthermore, by moving down to equal numbers of weapons on bothe sides,
Russia will gain in a relative sense, as the US currently has superiority. No US win here either.
In summary, US gains form the reset are,
well, zero.
Russian gains, on the other hand, are
substantial:
A. The US has turned a blind eye to
Russia's gross abuses in Georgia. These
are too numerous to go into here.
B.
The US has imposed an informal arms embargo on Georgia.
C.
NATO has backtracked on membership plans for Georgia and Ukraine.
D.
The US is championing Russia's entry into the World Trade Organisation
E.
The Administration is attempting to thwart the passage of the Magnitsky
Act.
F.
The achievement of parity in nuclear weapons capabilities, as noted above.
Now don't get me wrong; there are some good
things about the reset. It's a good
thing for nations to talk with, rather than yell at, each other. The concept of trying to make progress on
issues where progress is possible is useful, as is, in some cases, the idea of
de-linking certain topics from others.
Some more equal
Moldova's constitution demands equal
treatment for all citizens. Moldovan
law, however, segregates citizens into two differnt groups, and gives one group
an additional right compared to the other group.
Thursday, June 23, 2011
June 22nd
June 22nd 1941 was a very special day for two reasons:
- It marked the entry of the Soviet Union into the war against Germany, and
- It market the liberation of Basarabia from Soviet occupation
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