Wednesday, July 22, 2009

AMN must secure its vote

The recent IPP poll gave the Moldova Noastra Alliance (AMN) under 3% of voter preferences (i.e. below the 5% threshold to enter parliament). Like many, I didn't believe this poll and thought it had probably been rigged in some way. But look at the online poll at Vocea Basarabiei.

Remember that Vocea Basarabiei is a station which is almost exclusively listened to by opposition supporters. Let's say, for argument's sake, that that means 50% of the electorate. AMN would then, according to the (admittedly unscientific) listener poll, obtain only 4.7% of the vote on July 29th, and would miss out on obtaining seats in parliament. This would be an absolute tragedy for the liberal bloc and could mean another four years of communist-dominated government.

AMN needs to shore up its vote. First, it needs to work harder in its natural heartland to secure the rural non-communist vote. Secondly and more importantly it should urgently consider fusing its list with that of the PLDM. While this would obviously be a somewhat humiliating move, I think the stakes are too high to risk having a significant part of the liberal electorate disenfranchised.

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